Comments: Following my increasing concern, since the 1980s, about Climate Change, I had the following article published in a local Newsletter, but it provoked no response. See also my 2019 Essay, "A Carbon Atom's Plea".
Don’t worry about Climate Change – It’s going to happen anyway
For many years now, most scientists, and particularly those working for the IPCC, have been warning us that our planet is about to fall victim to a serious illness, of which this article is a diagnosis. With acknowledgements (and apologies if necessary) to James Lovelock.
The underlying cause
An excessively over-populated, selfish, greedy species, whose technological prowess surpasses its wisdom.
The levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere have been steadily, and exponentially, rising since the industrial revolution and are now at their highest level for at least 3 million years. This has almost entirely been caused by the burning of fossil fuels for industry, home heating and transportation, combined with a continuous reduction of nature’s main consumers of carbon dioxide (trees and algae). The overall global temperature is rising.
Consequently, the ice in the Arctic and Antarctic is melting at an accelerating rate, often releasing methane into the atmosphere, which further exacerbates the problem.
The likely developments
Sea levels will rise, eventually by about 5 metres or more, rendering many coastal towns and cities, and some countries, uninhabitable.
According to most climatologists, extreme weather events (such as floods, droughts and hurricanes) will increase in frequency and magnitude, though the effects will often be local. There will probably be crop failures.
The comfortably-habitable areas of the planet will decrease in size and number, and there will be intense competition amongst survivors for those areas.
As with any illness, there are several different possible approaches:
- Allow nature to take its natural course. This will involve great suffering, and may entail large-scale elimination of the underlying cause (complete with collateral damage), but the planet will almost certainly eventually recover and settle back into its usual behaviour patterns.
- Take drastic action, on a global governmental level, to reduce carbon dioxide levels by quickly shifting from fossil fuel technologies to the most viable alternative energy sources – nuclear, solar and, most particularly, hydrogen, in concert with the previous two. It has been estimated (by David Sanborn Scott) that, with enough will, determination, co-operation and investment, an almost global, hydrogen-based energy-production infrastructure (with only water as its by-product) could be achieved in as little as 20 years. Until that “Last Night I Had The Strangest Dream” scenario, on an individual level all that people can do is to make the conscience-salving, futile, symbolic gesture of reducing their own dependence on fossil fuels. This can be achieved by travelling as little as possible, reducing home heating, and not buying goods which are produced by energy-intensive industries (or foods which are transported long distance). If everyone on the planet did that, it would make an enormous impact (not least on the global economy), as would large-scale protesting and campaigning for governmental action.
- Try a counter-intuitive alternative therapy (like a combination of homeopathy, acupuncture and faith healing) and claim that global warming is necessary for the long-term future of mankind (even if is not good for the planet). Climate change deniers have missed a trick here. Instead of calling themselves ‘deniers’, which sounds so negative, they should have called themselves climate change justifiers. The fact is that, in geological terms, we are currently in the latter stages of an interglacial period and the planet is due, in the absence of interference, for another ice age (which would eventually have significant habitat-reducing effects, particularly in Northern Europe and North America). By increasing global temperatures and melting all the ice at the poles, we may be able to forestall (and perhaps even prevent) the next ice age. For all we know, the destructive effects of global warming may be less than the destructive effects of the next ice age would have been.
If any readers are interested in becoming part of a local Climate Change group, with a view to discussing possible courses of action, please contact me on [email protected].
Hugh Dower, Countersett, January 2015